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If You’re Analyzing Churn, You’re Already Too Late

  • Johan Gedde
  • May 20
  • 2 min read

Businessman looking stressed at a computer screen, with overlay text: “Analyzing churn is reporting. Preventing churn is strategy.” Illustrates the difference between reactive metrics and proactive Customer Success systems.
Don’t wait for churn to show up on your dashboard. Prevent it before it starts—with systems, signals, and early action.

Why Churn Prevention Starts Long Before Renewal

Let’s be honest: If your churn strategy starts with a spreadsheet, you’re not preventing churn, you’re reporting on it.

And reporting doesn’t retain customers.



🧠 The Real Cause of Churn Isn’t Always in Customer Success

Too many teams treat churn like it’s a CS problem that just shows up at renewal time.

But churn can start long before your Customer Success Manager is even in the picture:

  • 👉 At the first sales demo, when the ICP isn’t aligned

  • 👉 During onboarding, when expectations are unclear

  • 👉 Inside Product, when value isn’t delivered consistently

That’s why churn prevention isn’t just CS. It’s a system that spans Sales, Product, Onboarding, and beyond.



🧯 Churn Isn’t a Monster at Renewal

It’s a Signal You’ve Ignored for Months

Here’s what most teams get wrong:

They treat churn like a monster that suddenly appears at contract renewal. In reality, churn is a series of early warnings, signs that started months ago.

Some of the most common churn signals we track:

  • ⚠️ Missed onboarding milestones

  • ⚠️ Declining product usage

  • ⚠️ An increase in unresolved support tickets

  • ⚠️ No executive sponsor or stakeholder visibility

And yet, quarter after quarter, teams ignore these flashing red lights—until it’s too late.



✅ Here’s How We Attack Churn Before It Attacks Us

Churn prevention isn’t magic, it’s a system. Here’s how we’ve built ours:


1️⃣ Track Milestone Velocity

What it means: We monitor how quickly customers progress through key adoption milestones.

Why it matters: If they’re moving slower than the norm, something’s off. It usually means:

  • A feature didn’t deliver value

  • The UI was confusing

  • Expectations weren’t met

We don’t wait for usage to hit zero. We step in long before with targeted, helpful engagement.


2️⃣ Plug In AI

Why? Because no CS team can watch every customer, every minute.

We feed our AI engine:

  • Product usage data

  • Support ticket volume

  • Milestone activity

  • Feature engagement trends

The result? AI surfaces early warnings—long before human dashboards catch them.

It’s like radar for customer health. It doesn’t just react. It predicts.


3️⃣ Trigger Human Playbooks at the Right Time

Once AI surfaces a signal, we don’t guess what to do next.

Instead, we trigger the right playbook based on:

  • The type of signal

  • The severity

  • The customer segment

Sometimes it’s a light-touch email. Sometimes it’s a resource hub, a check-in, or a full red-flag escalation.

The point is: we don’t scramble. We act.



🧠 After a Decade in CS, Here’s What I Know:

Retention isn’t about firefighting. It’s not about saving accounts at the 11th hour.It’s about engineering a system that runs on:

  • Visibility

  • Signals

  • Early action

  • And human judgment when it matters most

Again and again.



💬 Let’s Compare Notes

How are you spotting churn before it becomes a problem?

Reply, comment, or connect. I’d love to hear how you’re building systems that prevent churn instead of chasing it.

✅ Follow me on LinkedIn for weekly execution-first CS strategy

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